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Southwest Airlines (LUV): Here’s what to expect over the coming months

Staff CorrespondentBy Staff CorrespondentJuly 31, 2022Updated:July 31, 2022No Comments3 Mins Read

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Shares of Southwest Airways (NYSE: LUV) had been down on Friday, a day after the corporate delivered better-than-expected outcomes for the second quarter of 2022. Income and earnings surpassed expectations and whereas demand developments have stayed robust, rising prices stay a ache level. Right here’s a take a look at the airline’s expectations for the remainder of the yr:

Income and profitability

Southwest generated revenues of $6.7 billion for the second quarter of 2022, which was up 68% year-over-year and 14% versus Q2 2019. Revenues improved sequentially via every month of the second quarter resulting in the corporate’s strongest month-to-month income efficiency in June.

The highest line progress was fueled by robust demand developments as leisure demand remained sturdy whereas enterprise demand witnessed a significant enchancment. Managed enterprise demand was down 19% in June in comparison with down 36% in March. This enchancment is anticipated to proceed within the third quarter of 2022. Southwest expects working revenues in Q3 2022 to extend 8-12% versus Q3 2019.

Southwest reported adjusted EPS of $1.30 for the second quarter. This compares to a lack of $0.35 per share within the year-ago interval. On its quarterly convention name, the corporate stated this was essentially the most secure income setting it has had in over two years and that it stays well-protected with its gas hedge. Primarily based on these elements, the airline expects to be worthwhile for the third and fourth quarters in addition to the complete yr of 2022.

Demand and capability

Southwest witnessed journey demand acquire traction in March. Each leisure and enterprise journey noticed important momentum via the second quarter. Trying on the third quarter, demand developments stay robust with power in passenger bookings yields and cargo elements. Demand for each leisure and enterprise journey are trending properly.

Capability in Q2 was up almost 12% year-over-year however down 7% in comparison with the identical interval in 2019. For the third quarter of 2022, capability is anticipated to be roughly flat in comparison with Q3 2019. For the fourth quarter, capability is estimated to be down 1-2% in comparison with the identical quarter in 2019. The corporate is at present projecting capability for the primary quarter of 2023 to extend 10% from the primary quarter of 2022.

Prices

Southwest continues to expertise inflationary pressures. Within the second quarter of 2022, working bills per out there seat mile, excluding gas and oil expense, particular objects, and profitsharing (CASM-X) elevated 13.1% from the identical interval in 2019.

For the third quarter of 2022, CASM-X is anticipated to be up 12-15% versus the 2019 ranges. Greater than half of this enhance is anticipated to be pushed by increased charges for labor and advantages and the rest is attributable to headwinds brought on by working at suboptimal productiveness ranges.

Click on right here to learn the complete transcript of Southwest Airways’ Q2 2022 earnings convention name

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Staff Correspondent

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