12 Nightmarish Economic Trends That We Should Expect To See During The 2nd Half Of 2022 – Investment Watch

by Michael

For those who thought that the financial information was loopy in the course of the first half of 2022, simply wait till we get to the second half.  So lots of the issues that we’re experiencing now are going to proceed to accentuate, and Individuals have gotten extra pessimistic about financial circumstances with every passing day.  Actually, as you will notice beneath, a whopping 85 p.c of us consider that it’s “very probably” or “considerably probably” that the financial system will undergo a recession in some unspecified time in the future in the course of the subsequent yr.  After all the reality is that if all we have now to endure by way of is a “recession”, we might be extraordinarily lucky.  Our leaders have misplaced management of the financial system, and many people are extraordinarily involved about what’s coming subsequent.  The next are 12 nightmarish financial traits that we should always anticipate to see in the course of the second half of 2022…

#1 Fuel costs will proceed to surge greater, and plenty of Individuals will probably be shocked by how excessive they finally go.  For those who can consider it, in Washington State not less than one fuel station has now reprogrammed their fuel pumps “to make room for double-digit pricing”…

On the 76 Fuel Station in Auburn, Washington positioned at 1725 Auburn Manner North, fuel pumps have been reprogrammed to make room for double-digit pricing. In March, they nonetheless had single-digit programming.

A spokesperson at 76 confirmed to The Submit Millennial that the fuel pumps had been reprogrammed to allocate for double-digit pricing. Though not confirming that they’re anticipating costs to extend as much as $10.00 or extra, the present development suggests the chance.

Provides of gasoline will proceed to get even tighter within the months forward.  Earlier right now, I heard from a reader on the east coast and a reader in the midst of the nation that each mentioned that diesel is now being rationed the place they reside.  Up to now, I’ve not been in a position to affirm that that is taking place on a widespread foundation.

#2 We’re being warned that there could possibly be prolonged blackouts in some components of the nation in the course of the summer time months.  It’s being reported that the center of the nation is especially in danger…

About 100 million Individuals face energy blackouts this summer time as roasting climate, overstretched powerplants and unreliable inexperienced power sources mix to create an ideal storm of issues.

States stretching from the Nice Lakes to the Pacific Ocean that are dwelling to tens of hundreds of thousands of Individuals might have a tough time producing sufficient energy for his or her residents this summer time.

The ‘MISO’ a part of America’s energy grid – whose full title is the Midcontinent Impartial System Operator is at biggest threat of a large-scale outage.

#3 Everybody just about agrees that meals costs will proceed to rise.  After all they’ve already reached ranges which might be completely insane…

Take the case of Jeff Good, who co-founded three eating places in Jackson, Mississippi. Round 18 months in the past, a 40-pound field of hen wings price him about $85. Now, it may go as excessive as roughly $150. Bills for cooking oil and flour have practically doubled up to now 5 months, he mentioned. But it surely’s not simply ingredient costs going up. He’s paying extra for labor and companies, too. Even the corporate that maintains his air conditioners has tacked on a $40 gasoline cost per go to. To manage, he’s raised menu costs.

A 15-piece order of hen wings, a signature dish at his Sal and Mookie’s pizzeria, went for $13.95 earlier than Covid hit. Now, wing prices can range a lot they’re labeled at “market worth,” like some eating places do with lobster. At peaks, the menu worth will be be about $27.95 — however that represents a barely-there margin — and Good estimates the “actual price” is nearer to about $34. He’s attempting to determine whether or not to maintain elevating costs or take wings off the menu.

I don’t find out about you, however I don’t ever see myself paying 34 {dollars} for an order of hen wings.

#4 As our provide chains endure much more stress, shortages will proceed to accentuate.  The intense child formulation scarcity that we’re witnessing proper now is only a preview of coming points of interest…

Two youngsters in Memphis have been hospitalized after needing IV fluids and dietary assist because of the child formulation scarcity.

The preschooler and toddler, each from completely different households, had been rushed to Le Bonheur Kids’s Hospital after their dad and mom did not safe formulation as cabinets throughout America go naked.

#5 The UN is telling us that we’re heading into the worst world meals disaster since World Struggle II.  In some components of Africa, the variety of folks affected by “excessive starvation” has already greater than doubled…

Greater than 23 million individuals are experiencing excessive starvation in Ethiopia, Somalia and Kenya, in accordance with a brand new report by Oxfam and Save the Kids. That’s up from over 10 million final yr.

The area’s worst drought in 40 years is being exacerbated by battle and the pandemic. And the struggle in Ukraine has despatched meals costs hovering to report ranges.

#6 Widespread starvation will virtually actually result in extra civil unrest.  Current occasions in Sri Lanka give us a sign of what could also be coming…

Protesters in Sri Lanka have burned down properties belonging to 38 politicians because the crisis-hit nation plunged additional into chaos, with the federal government ordering troops to “shoot on sight.”

Police within the island nation mentioned Tuesday that along with the destroyed properties, 75 others have been broken as offended Sri Lankans proceed to defy a nationwide curfew to protest towards what they are saying is the federal government’s mishandling of the nation’s worst financial disaster since 1948.

#7 The Federal Reserve is more likely to proceed to aggressively increase rates of interest.  Actually, Fed Chair Jerome Powell is brazenly admitting that his establishment’s battle towards inflation might trigger “some ache” within the months forward…

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell warned Tuesday the U.S. might really feel “some ache” because the central financial institution raises rates of interest to battle inflation, insisting the Fed would do no matter it takes to curb worth progress.

Throughout a reside interview for The Wall Avenue Journal’s “Way forward for Every little thing” summit, Powell mentioned the Fed will proceed to boost rates of interest till inflation begins to fall and the forces driving costs greater fade, even on the threat of a deeper financial slowdown.

#8 Increased rates of interest will probably be devastating for the housing market in the USA.  And that’s very troubling information, as a result of dwelling gross sales have already fallen for 3 months in a row…

Dwelling gross sales fell for the third consecutive month in April as rising mortgage charges and affordability challenges pushed many would-be dwelling consumers out of the market.

#9 Defaults are more likely to proceed to rise greater.  Identical to we noticed proper earlier than the final monetary disaster, defaults on subprime loans are actually beginning to surge…

Customers with low credit score scores are falling behind on funds for automobile loans, private loans and bank cards, an indication that the healthiest client lending surroundings on report within the U.S. is coming to an finish.

The share of subprime bank cards and private loans which might be not less than 60 days late is rising sooner than regular, in accordance with credit-reporting agency Equifax. In March, these delinquencies rose month over month for the eighth time in a row, nearing their prepandemic ranges. Delinquencies on subprime automobile loans and leases hit an all-time excessive in February, primarily based on Equifax’s monitoring that goes again to 2007.

#10 Because the financial system slows down, we should always anticipate layoffs to extend and jobless claims will finally begin to spike.  Actually, we simply discovered that they’ve now hit a 4 month excessive.

#11 For sure, all of this unhealthy financial information goes to be actually unhealthy for inventory costs.  The S&P 500 has already practically fallen into bear market territory, and plenty of consider that what we have now witnessed to date is only the start.

#12 Many are warning {that a} recession is both already right here or will arrive quickly.  And Individuals are more and more turning into extra pessimistic in regards to the financial system.  One survey that was not too long ago carried out discovered that 85 p.c of Individuals consider that it’s “very probably” or “considerably probably” that there will probably be a recession in some unspecified time in the future within the subsequent yr…

An awesome majority of Individuals predict there to be a recession throughout the subsequent yr, in accordance with a Quinnipiac College ballot launched Wednesday.

The ballot discovered that 85 p.c of Individuals assume it’s probably for the nation to undergo an financial recession within the subsequent yr. Of those that responded, 45 p.c mentioned it’s “very probably,” and 40 p.c mentioned “considerably probably” for a recession.

The form of historic financial meltdown that I’ve been warning about for years is quickly approaching, and the temper of the nation will dramatically shift as circumstances drastically deteriorate.

Already, we’re beginning to see an amazing quantity of anger on the market.  Earlier right now, I got here throughout the next put up on a very talked-about Web dialogue discussion board…

Simply wish to vent. I’m from center Missouri, I’m a single mother of two teenagers. My day job pays effectively and pays the payments effectively, a yr in the past my earnings would assist us, payments, meals, fuel and so on. i now must work a second job simply to feed us and put fuel in my automobile. Eggs right here went from .99 a carton to 1.99, floor beef went from 2.89 a pound to 4.99, and it goes on and on. Fuel went from 1.90 to 4.29 a gallon. I’m out of my thoughts scared it should solely worsen. I’ve democrat mates that say “that’s how the financial system works”. No it’s as a result of Biden was giving out “covid” bucks to non working folks benefiting from the system, giving our cash to Ukraine, shutting down fuel traces within the US and so on.

I can perceive her anger.

Most Individuals are working as laborious as they will, however our lifestyle is being systematically destroyed by the very silly insurance policies of our leaders.

Sadly, we’re nonetheless solely within the very early chapters of this disaster.

It seems to be just like the second half of this yr will probably be much more difficult than the primary half, and that’s going to have monumental implications for all of us.