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Home » Ex-John Lewis boss warns UK faces £85bn sickness bill and economic crisis
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Ex-John Lewis boss warns UK faces £85bn sickness bill and economic crisis

Business Circle TeamBy Business Circle TeamNovember 6, 2025No Comments4 Mins Read
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Ex-John Lewis boss warns UK faces £85bn sickness bill and economic crisis
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Sir Charlie Mayfield says ill-health is driving hundreds of thousands out of labor, costing employers and the economic system billions — however the issue is “not inevitable.”

Britain is liable to an “financial inactivity disaster” because the variety of sick and disabled folks out of labor continues to rise, based on a government-commissioned overview led by Sir Charlie Mayfield, the previous John Lewis chairman.

The report warns that 800,000 extra folks at the moment are out of labor as a consequence of well being situations than in 2019, costing employers £85 billion a yr in misplaced productiveness, sick pay and employees turnover. With out intervention, an extra 600,000 staff may go away the labour market by 2030.

“This isn’t inevitable,” Sir Charlie stated, as he launched a brand new taskforce geared toward serving to folks return to work and tackling what he described as a “vicious cycle” of poor well being and financial inactivity.

The report, commissioned by the Division for Work and Pensions (DWP) however produced independently, discovered that one in 5 working-age folks is now out of labor and never in search of employment — a significant reversal after many years of bettering participation.

Sir Charlie stated illness is costing the UK way over simply enterprise losses.

“Work is usually good for well being, and well being is nice for work,” he stated. “For employers, illness and employees turnover deliver disruption and misplaced expertise. For the nation, it means weaker progress, increased welfare spending and better stress on the NHS.”

In line with some estimates, illness-related inactivity prices the broader economic system £212 billion a yr — nearly 70% of annual earnings tax receipts — by way of misplaced output, welfare funds and extra healthcare prices.

The Workplace for Funds Accountability (OBR) expects spending on well being and incapacity advantages for working-age folks alone to achieve £72.3 billion by 2029–30.

Mayfield stated the surge was being fuelled by a “sharp rise” in psychological well being situations amongst youthful staff and continual musculoskeletal issues — resembling again ache and joint points — amongst older employees.

His taskforce can even work with GPs, who he stated usually face stress from sufferers to situation sick notes however discover it tough to evaluate whether or not somebody may work in a modified position.

Enterprise teams broadly welcomed the taskforce however warned that components of Labour’s Employment Rights Invoice danger discouraging companies from hiring folks with present well being situations.

The Invoice contains assured hours and restrictions on zero-hours contracts — measures that some retailers worry will make versatile hiring tougher.

Helen Dickinson, chief govt of the British Retail Consortium, stated retailers had been dedicated to supporting workers with ill-health however that “the federal government’s targets and insurance policies are at odds with each other.”

“Whereas encouraging employers to spend money on workforce well being and supply flexibility, they danger making it harder,” she stated.

In response to the report, the federal government introduced a partnership with over 60 main employers, together with Tesco, Google UK, Nando’s and John Lewis, to check new well being and wellbeing initiatives geared toward lowering illness absence and bettering return-to-work charges.

Over the subsequent three years, these programmes will kind the idea for a voluntary nationwide office well being customary, anticipated by 2029.

Work and Pensions Secretary Pat McFadden stated the partnership was “a win-win for workers and employers.”

“That is about conserving good, skilled employees in work and supporting folks to remain wholesome for longer,” he stated.

Ruth Curtice, chief govt of the Decision Basis, stated the overview “precisely recognized a tradition of worry, a dearth of assist and structural limitations to work” as key points behind Britain’s worsening inactivity charge.

The CIPD, representing HR professionals, welcomed the give attention to prevention. Its chief govt, Peter Cheese, stated the report’s success “will depend upon how nicely its suggestions are understood by enterprise and backed by nationwide and regional policymakers.”

Dr Roman Raczka, president of the British Psychological Society, stated the shift towards “rehumanising the office” was overdue, however warned that not everybody may or ought to return to work.

“The office itself is usually a root reason for poor psychological well being,” he stated. “These signed off sick deserve well timed entry to protected, compassionate care.”


Paul Jones

Harvard alumni and former New York Occasions journalist. Editor of Enterprise Issues for over 15 years, the UKs largest enterprise journal. I’m additionally head of Capital Enterprise Media’s automotive division working for shoppers resembling Pink Bull Racing, Honda, Aston Martin and Infiniti.





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