Nifty outlook: Breakout above 21,600 could take Nifty to 22,000-22,200

After a pointy rally over the previous two months, the Nifty is poised to take a pause and consolidate, sustaining a optimistic bias throughout the broader vary of 21,600-20,800. Analysts recommend that any potential breakout above 21,600 might propel the index to a brand new all-time excessive throughout the vary of twenty-two,000-22,200. Shares resembling L&T, Reliance, HDFC Financial institution, Manappuram Finance, Maruti, GAIL, Hindalco, Arvind Style, Hind Oil Exploration, Graphite, Engineers India, Persistent, Mphasis, and Cummins are anticipated to maintain sturdy shopping for curiosity, in response to analysts.

ARPAN SHAH, SENIOR RESEARCH ANALYST, MONARCH NETWORTH CAPITAL

The place is the Nifty headed this week?
Nifty has rallied from 18,850 to 21,593 within the final two months. After this 2,700-point rally, the index closed with a indecisive candlestick final week. FII index longs have reached 65.5% stage, which is close to the higher vary. Nifty is prone to commerce unstable within the 20,950-21,600 vary within the coming weeks. If it offers a breakout from this vary, then it’ll have a directional transfer in direction of 20,500-20,300 stage on the draw back, whereas a breakout above 21,600 will take it to a brand new all-time excessive of twenty-two,000-22,200.

What ought to buyers do?
Gold is buying and selling close to an all-time excessive stage, and shares like Manappuram Finance may have a optimistic influence. Any dip within the inventory is a shopping for alternative for the upside goal of `200-220. Bajaj Finance closed with destructive formation, and it’s prone to go decrease in direction of `7,000 within the coming days. Maruti has closed with a bullish candlestick, whereas M&M has closed with a destructive formation. A protracted Maruti and brief M&M commerce could be taken in these shares. Hindustan Copper has given a recent breakout on the weekly chart, and any dip in direction of `200 is a shopping for alternative. Shares like RHI Magnesita, West Value Paper Mills, Ratnamani Metals, and Landmark could be added in dips.

DHARMESH SHAH, HEAD-TECHNICALS, ICICI SECURITIES

The place is the Nifty headed this week?
The weekly worth motion has fashioned a small bear candle, indicating a pause after seven consecutive weeks of rally. Within the upcoming truncated week, we anticipate Nifty to consolidate with a optimistic bias within the broader vary of 21,600-20,800 amid stock-specific actions. We anticipate the index to steadily head in direction of 22,000 in January 2024. Within the course of, sturdy help is positioned at 20,800 resulting from a breather after a sooner tempo of retracement in Financial institution Nifty, declining yields, and a secure foreign money, together with stable institutional flows, which might act as tailwinds.

What ought to buyers do?
Going forward, bouts of volatility, owing to international developments and month-to-month expiry week, can’t be dominated out. Therefore, dips shouldn’t be construed as unfavourable; as a substitute, they need to be capitalised as incremental shopping for alternatives in high quality shares. Amongst sectors, we stay optimistic on financials, capital items and infra, PSU, metallic, and vitality, whereas IT supplies a beneficial risk-reward setup. On the inventory entrance, in large-cap, we favor Reliance, SBI, TCS, GAIL, Hindalco, and PNB; whereas in midcaps, Arvind Style, Hind Oil Exploration, Graphite, Engineers India, Financial institution of India, CESC, BEML, Auro Pharma, Birla Mushy, Chambal Fertiliser, Elgi Gear, HFCL, Vguard, are wanting good.

SUDEEP SHAH, HEAD – TECHNICAL & DERIVATIVE RESEARCH DESK, SBI SECURITIES

The place is the Nifty headed this week?
Technically, we really feel 21,050-21,100 might act as an vital help space. In the meantime, resistance on the upside is seen on the 21,400-21,430 zone. A decisive transfer above 21,430 ranges might result in a recent upside as much as 21,650-21,700. Primarily based on choice chain knowledge, going into the expiry week, Nifty is anticipated to commerce in a broader vary of 21,050-21,650.

What Ought to Traders do?
The rise in India’s VIX above 13.5 ranges is indicating the enlargement of volatility. Therefore, we really feel merchants and buyers ought to undertake a stock-specific strategy and give attention to largecap shares and high quality midcaps, that are at the moment outperforming the market. We anticipate choose shares from the CPSE, energy, realty, midcap IT, pharma, oil & fuel in addition to FMCG area to outperform going forward with optimistic commerce set-ups seen in choose large-cap names resembling L&T, Reliance, HDFC Financial institution. On the mid-cap entrance, shares like Persistent, Mphasis, Cummins, Lalpath Labs, Financial institution of Baroda, HDFC AMC, DLF, Tata Client and Hindalco might proceed to witness sturdy shopping for curiosity.