Author: Paul Wiseman, The Associated Press

[ad_1] Only a quarter of enterprise economists and analysts count on the US to fall into recession this 12 months. And any downturn would doubtless outcome from an exterior shock – comparable to a battle involving China – relatively than from home financial elements comparable to increased rates of interest. However respondents to a Nationwide Affiliation of Enterprise Economics survey launched Monday nonetheless count on year-over-year inflation to exceed 2.5% — above the Federal Reserve’s 2% goal – by 2024. A 12 months in the past, most forecasters anticipated the U.S. economic system – the world’s largest – to slip…

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