NALCO reported a 36.7% year-on-year rise in internet revenue for the September quarter, reaching Rs 1,430 crore, in comparison with Rs 1,046 crore in the identical interval final yr. The expansion was supported by improved working effectivity and higher realisations. Income for the quarter rose 31.5% to Rs 4,292 crore, up from Rs 4,001 crore a yr earlier.
EBITDA for the quarter got here in at Rs 1,932.9 crore, reflecting a 24.8% improve over the earlier yr. Working margins strengthened to 45%, up from 38.7%, highlighting enhanced pricing energy and disciplined price administration.
The rally additionally comes within the backdrop of the corporate’s not too long ago introduced Rs 4 per share interim dividend and a optimistic outlook for aluminium costs on the London Metallic Change, with expectations of costs averaging round $2,670 per tonne in 2026.
Here’s what brokerages are saying:
Axis Securities: Purchase| Goal value: Rs 265
Axis Securities has maintained a BUY score on Nationwide Aluminium Firm Ltd (NALCO), setting a revised goal value of Rs 265 per share, up from Rs 220. This revised goal implies a possible upside of 13% from the present market value. The brokerage values the corporate at 6.0x Sep’27E EBITDA and 0.5x e book worth of capital work in progress (CWIP), with the valuation rolled ahead from March 2027.In its outlook, Axis Securities highlighted that NALCO’s well timed enlargement and ramp-up of the fifth stream Alumina refinery, with a deliberate capability addition of 1 million tonnes each year (MTPA) by FY27, will probably be a key progress driver. The capital expenditure (capex) for this undertaking has already seen price overruns. Moreover, NALCO has outlined a capex plan of Rs 30,000 crore for its 0.5 MTPA smelter and 1,080 MW captive energy plant (CPP), with capex spending anticipated to extend from FY28.The success of those initiatives, in keeping with the brokerage, will rely on well timed execution. The corporate has guided for a capital construction of 70:30 leverage, which is able to assist the enlargement plans.
PL Capital: Purchase | Goal value: Rs 281
PL Capital has maintained a BUY score on Nationwide Aluminium Firm Ltd (NACL), with a revised goal value of Rs 281 (up from Rs 280).
The brokerage famous that NACL delivered a powerful working efficiency in Q2FY26, supported by increased alumina stock liquidation, higher steel realisations, and lowered energy and gasoline prices. Alumina volumes rose 39% year-on-year to 396 kt, whereas steel volumes fell 7% YoY to 112 kt as a result of subdued home demand throughout the monsoon.
Alumina Internet Gross sales Realisation (NSR) declined 4% quarter-on-quarter to USD 404/tonne, whereas steel common realisation rose 5% QoQ to USD 2,938/tonne. The corporate benefited from price tailwinds pushed by decrease worker bills, lowered gasoline prices, and better output from captive coal mines. Administration reiterated the commissioning timeline for its 1 MTPA alumina refinery and Pottangi bauxite mine by June 2026, which is anticipated to spice up volumes beginning FY27.
PL Capital additionally highlighted that captive coal mines are ramping up properly and are anticipated to satisfy 57% of NACL’s coal requirement. Whereas the corporate has made structural enhancements in price efficiencies via captive assets, the brokerage flagged near-term weak spot in quantity progress as a result of undertaking execution delays.
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Emkay World Monetary Providers: Purchase | Goal value: Rs 270
Emkay World Monetary Providers has upgraded NALCO to a Purchase from Add and raised its goal value by 13% to Rs 270 (from Rs 240). This revision relies on 5 key elements: a internet money steadiness sheet enabling hedge-free publicity to the aluminium cycle, 50% of alumina being bought via long-term contracts linked to LME, structural price enhancements leading to sturdy alumina and aluminium margins, low consensus estimates suggesting room for upward revisions, and enticing valuations. Though delays within the 1mt alumina undertaking stay a priority, NALCO delivered a powerful Q2 EBITDA of Rs 19.3 billion (+29% QoQ), beating Emkay and consensus estimates by 28–30%, supported by decrease caustic soda prices and better volumes.
(Disclaimer: Suggestions, ideas, views and opinions given by the specialists are their very own. These don’t characterize the views of The Financial Instances)
