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Home » 44 states say CFTC has no authority over sports prediction markets
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44 states say CFTC has no authority over sports prediction markets

Business Circle TeamBy Business Circle TeamJuly 29, 2026No Comments4 Mins Read
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44 states say CFTC has no authority over sports prediction markets
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The Commodity Futures Buying and selling Fee headquarters in Washington, Dec. 23, 2022.

Ting Shen | Bloomberg | Getty Photographs

A coalition of 44 state attorneys common wrote in a letter to the Commodity Futures Buying and selling Fee on Monday that the company does not have the facility to control sports-related occasion contracts on prediction market platforms. 

The letter was despatched as the general public remark interval for the CFTC’s first proposed rule on prediction market regulation expired Monday night. The measure primarily focuses on exchanges’ sports activities choices.

“The Proposed Rule goes past the CFTC’s statutory powers, is in pressure with the Structure, and would in any other case be arbitrary and capricious in its present type,” wrote the coalition of states attorneys common, led by Ohio Lawyer Normal Andy Wilson. “The CFTC ought to begin afresh with its rulemaking and make clear that sports activities bets and playing can’t be traded on [designated contract markets], however are as a substitute topic to state regulation.”

Attorneys common representing Florida, Georgia, New Hampshire, Missouri and Texas didn’t signal the letter. 

States and the CFTC have been locked in a jurisdictional battle ever since prediction market exchanges’ volumes exploded final 12 months, primarily pushed by the recognition of their sports-related contracts. The 2026 FIFA World Cup despatched platform volumes to new heights. 

The CFTC — and prediction market platforms — argue that every one occasion contracts are swaps, a spinoff that’s regulated by the fee. Nevertheless, states throughout the nation imagine that the sports-related contracts look an excessive amount of like sports activities betting, which is of their jurisdictional wheelhouse. 

SEC and CFTC face new questions as prediction markets expand

In June, the fee launched a primary draft of its proposed rule on regulating prediction markets. The draft centered closely on the controversial sports-related occasion contracts, together with describing which of them might find yourself prohibited. 

It additionally crafted a definition for “gaming,” which the fee within the rule stated is one thing executed for recreation or to entertain, is ruled by guidelines and relies on measurable outcomes decided by expert exercise through the exercise. In its personal letter to the CFTC, derivatives market CME Group disagreed with this definition.

“By defining ‘gaming’ as the game itself quite than the monetary wagering on the game, the CFTC’s definition suggests the [Commodity Exchange Act] is preempting state sports activities rules, which is a hanging overreach,” wrote CME common counsel Jonathan Marcus within the letter. 

The CFTC has used federal preemption as an argument in court docket proceedings throughout the U.S. towards states to defend what it sees as its unique jurisdiction to control prediction markets. The fee is in litigation with 9 states throughout the nation to defend that perception. 

Whereas the CME is anxious concerning the federal authorities regulating sports-related occasion contracts, the alternate acts as sportsbook FanDuel’s CFTC-regulated alternate for its sports activities prediction markets. 

In the meantime, prediction market platform Rothera — which launched in June — argued that the fee ought to undertake the “gaming” definition exactly as a result of it makes it concerning the exercise itself. 

“A definition keyed to wagering, or to ‘risking one thing of worth’ would, because the Fee acknowledges, sweep in each occasion contract,” Rothera CEO Thomas Chippas wrote in a letter to the fee. “Rothera agrees {that a} definition keyed to ‘wagering’ must be rejected.”

Observers of prediction markets broadly agree the Supreme Court docket will probably have the ultimate say in who will get to control sports-related occasion contracts. Till then, a flurry of different court docket selections are deciding the standing of prediction markets’ choices.

These selections are sometimes yielding diverging outcomes. A Michigan choose in late June blocked platform Kalshi from providing sports activities bets within the state, whereas a federal choose in Minnesota on Monday quickly blocked a statewide ban on prediction markets from taking impact Saturday. 

Disclosure: CNBC and Kalshi have a business relationship that features buyer acquisition and a minority funding.

Select CNBC as your most well-liked supply on Google and by no means miss a second from essentially the most trusted identify in enterprise information.



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